2008 US Presidential Election
(or as I like to call it, degree's of Clinton vs. degree's of Reagan, and I'll tell you why)
Ok, lets analyze the major Democratic contenders to date:
Hilary Clinton IS a Clinton (.9 Clintons + .1 womens vote)
John Edwards is LIKE Clinton, poor background, southern, lawyer, 'emotes' (the 'I feel your pain' factor). Most Clintonesque (1.0 Clintons)
Barack Obama talks like Clinton, has the ability to give a speech in a very conversational and understanding tone, much like Bill. Very much the man of the people. He's also seen by Dems as the golden boy, they absolutely love him. Plus he tried cocaine, I wonder if he inhaled? (.6 Clintons + .3 former drug users). Least Clintonesque, especially since he probably couldnt win a southern state if hell froze over.
Ok, now lets look at the major Republican contenders to date:
John McCain: First, he's old, a direct connection with Reagan, next, he's spry, another connection to early Reagan. He's good with one liners, has been in movies (Wedding Crashers?), and is generally well liked. Ok, now, realistically: He's far right but has moderate views, and he has that ability to deliver emotion into his speeches similar to Reagan, as well, he's good with teh pithy responses (McCain-"Except for making my kids sing Hail to the Chief, I never think of myself as President", Reagan- "I am not going to exploit, for political purposes, my opponent's youth and inexperience.") This is really the key, he's viewed as an independant, not as a Republican, thus he can win centrist voters like no ones business., and appeal to the common man, without BEING the common man. All very Reagan qualities. (.7 Reagans +.2 war hero + .1 loved by Democrats)
Newt Gingrich: He thinks like Reagan and is able to effectively win the American people through soundbites, much like Reagan ('tear down this wall', 'contract with america'. Plus, much like Reagan, he is DESPISED by Democrats. (.8 Reagans)
Giuliani: Im just going to equate being mayor of New York with governor of California right now. Hell, most Americans probably couldnt tell you whether he was mayor or governor of New York. Anyways, another one whose popular in the mainstream, comes from a traditionally liberal state and yet is a conservative. Very similar in terms of status, though relatively different personalities I suspect.
And thus, in my oversimplified way, I have reduced the 2008 election as being one fought between Reagan and Clinton by proxies. This should be an interesting match up.
There is your comedic thought for the day.
(or as I like to call it, degree's of Clinton vs. degree's of Reagan, and I'll tell you why)
Ok, lets analyze the major Democratic contenders to date:
Hilary Clinton IS a Clinton (.9 Clintons + .1 womens vote)
John Edwards is LIKE Clinton, poor background, southern, lawyer, 'emotes' (the 'I feel your pain' factor). Most Clintonesque (1.0 Clintons)
Barack Obama talks like Clinton, has the ability to give a speech in a very conversational and understanding tone, much like Bill. Very much the man of the people. He's also seen by Dems as the golden boy, they absolutely love him. Plus he tried cocaine, I wonder if he inhaled? (.6 Clintons + .3 former drug users). Least Clintonesque, especially since he probably couldnt win a southern state if hell froze over.
Ok, now lets look at the major Republican contenders to date:
John McCain: First, he's old, a direct connection with Reagan, next, he's spry, another connection to early Reagan. He's good with one liners, has been in movies (Wedding Crashers?), and is generally well liked. Ok, now, realistically: He's far right but has moderate views, and he has that ability to deliver emotion into his speeches similar to Reagan, as well, he's good with teh pithy responses (McCain-"Except for making my kids sing Hail to the Chief, I never think of myself as President", Reagan- "I am not going to exploit, for political purposes, my opponent's youth and inexperience.") This is really the key, he's viewed as an independant, not as a Republican, thus he can win centrist voters like no ones business., and appeal to the common man, without BEING the common man. All very Reagan qualities. (.7 Reagans +.2 war hero + .1 loved by Democrats)
Newt Gingrich: He thinks like Reagan and is able to effectively win the American people through soundbites, much like Reagan ('tear down this wall', 'contract with america'. Plus, much like Reagan, he is DESPISED by Democrats. (.8 Reagans)
Giuliani: Im just going to equate being mayor of New York with governor of California right now. Hell, most Americans probably couldnt tell you whether he was mayor or governor of New York. Anyways, another one whose popular in the mainstream, comes from a traditionally liberal state and yet is a conservative. Very similar in terms of status, though relatively different personalities I suspect.
And thus, in my oversimplified way, I have reduced the 2008 election as being one fought between Reagan and Clinton by proxies. This should be an interesting match up.
There is your comedic thought for the day.
posted by Patrick Meehan at 2:52 PM
2 Comments:
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I suspect Barack will pick up a couple of .X Clintons in the South. The $22 billion dollar broiler chicken industry (Georgia, Alabama, and Arkansas leading the way) will no doubt produce favorable Southern policy from Barack's camp (Chappelle, 2006). Hilarious Post.
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